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	<title>Comments on: Guide to the Avian Flu</title>
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		<title>By: Topics about Toronto &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Guide to the Avian Flu — Canadian Capitalist</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190670</link>
		<dc:creator>Topics about Toronto &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Guide to the Avian Flu — Canadian Capitalist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 06:36:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190670</guid>
		<description>[...] Canadian Capitalist created an interesting post today on Guide to the Avian Flu &#226;  Permalink Comments [0] [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Canadian Capitalist created an interesting post today on Guide to the Avian Flu &acirc;  Permalink Comments [0] [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Canadian Personal Finance Blog &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Friday Random Thoughts: When Pigs Fly and Swine Flu</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190401</link>
		<dc:creator>Canadian Personal Finance Blog &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Friday Random Thoughts: When Pigs Fly and Swine Flu</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2009 10:33:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190401</guid>
		<description>[...] Canadian Capitalist&#8217;s Guide to the Avian Flu discusses what a Global Pandemic might do to our [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Canadian Capitalist&#8217;s Guide to the Avian Flu discusses what a Global Pandemic might do to our [...]</p>
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		<title>By: CanadianInvestor</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190360</link>
		<dc:creator>CanadianInvestor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 22:43:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190360</guid>
		<description>Swine flu may or may not be the &quot;big one&quot; but pandemics have periodically killed millions and millions of people. It is only by treating each outbreak cautiously that the worst can be avoided. If the current strain mutates to become more easily transmitted and more deadly, which is possible but not certain, then watch out. We should not engage in the conceit that &quot;it cannot happen to us&quot;. I&#039;d rather see over-hype and over-reaction by authorities on this issue. (Nothing ever happened with the year 2000 bug precisely because it was so hyped that every organization took corrective measures and prevented failures, yet some say this meant the problem did not exist) Read the report to get a glimpse of the possible reality. 

As for investing defenses against flu effects, the report also mentions gold and t-bills as safe havens.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Swine flu may or may not be the &#8220;big one&#8221; but pandemics have periodically killed millions and millions of people. It is only by treating each outbreak cautiously that the worst can be avoided. If the current strain mutates to become more easily transmitted and more deadly, which is possible but not certain, then watch out. We should not engage in the conceit that &#8220;it cannot happen to us&#8221;. I&#8217;d rather see over-hype and over-reaction by authorities on this issue. (Nothing ever happened with the year 2000 bug precisely because it was so hyped that every organization took corrective measures and prevented failures, yet some say this meant the problem did not exist) Read the report to get a glimpse of the possible reality. </p>
<p>As for investing defenses against flu effects, the report also mentions gold and t-bills as safe havens.</p>
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		<title>By: MoneyEnergy</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190346</link>
		<dc:creator>MoneyEnergy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 16:45:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190346</guid>
		<description>The media may be at fault for sometimes using hyperbolic language, but for pointing out the updates to facts on a virus that can mutate every 10 minutes, I&#039;m glad to hear as much as we are hearing.  There are important reasons that make H1N1 qualitatively different from your average seasonal flu.  And I bet that if more people had been hit by SARS they would have appreciated those updates too.

Thanks for mentioning this book, I&#039;ve read several about the H5N1 virus, but not in regard to investing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The media may be at fault for sometimes using hyperbolic language, but for pointing out the updates to facts on a virus that can mutate every 10 minutes, I&#8217;m glad to hear as much as we are hearing.  There are important reasons that make H1N1 qualitatively different from your average seasonal flu.  And I bet that if more people had been hit by SARS they would have appreciated those updates too.</p>
<p>Thanks for mentioning this book, I&#8217;ve read several about the H5N1 virus, but not in regard to investing.</p>
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		<title>By: Canadian Capitalist</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190345</link>
		<dc:creator>Canadian Capitalist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 16:42:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190345</guid>
		<description>@Phil: I&#039;m sorry to hear about your job loss. Hope you can find something soon. If there is a pandemic, I think there will be a tremendous economic impact with the economy practically shutting down. The report suggests that the effects should be temporary but who knows.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Phil: I&#8217;m sorry to hear about your job loss. Hope you can find something soon. If there is a pandemic, I think there will be a tremendous economic impact with the economy practically shutting down. The report suggests that the effects should be temporary but who knows.</p>
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		<title>By: Phil S</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190296</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil S</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2009 21:04:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190296</guid>
		<description>For me, there is one big difference between SARS and swine flu.  When SARS was raging, I had quit my job.  This time with the swine flu, I got laid off.  Either way, I am off work in both scenarios, so it&#039;s not a good time for investing.

On a more serious note...  Other than travel &amp; tourism which are negatively impacted and health care which is positively impacted, I also don&#039;t think there&#039;s any sort of investment thesis to be had on global pandemics or outbreaks.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For me, there is one big difference between SARS and swine flu.  When SARS was raging, I had quit my job.  This time with the swine flu, I got laid off.  Either way, I am off work in both scenarios, so it&#8217;s not a good time for investing.</p>
<p>On a more serious note&#8230;  Other than travel &amp; tourism which are negatively impacted and health care which is positively impacted, I also don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s any sort of investment thesis to be had on global pandemics or outbreaks.</p>
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		<title>By: Canadian Capitalist</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190284</link>
		<dc:creator>Canadian Capitalist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2009 15:59:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190284</guid>
		<description>@xenko: Don Coxe is a fund manager, so unsurprisingly, he is talking about active management.

For the record, I&#039;m not making any changes other than washing hands more often than usual. Put this post down to spending time on Wikipedia and reading up on past pandemics. Scary stuff.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@xenko: Don Coxe is a fund manager, so unsurprisingly, he is talking about active management.</p>
<p>For the record, I&#8217;m not making any changes other than washing hands more often than usual. Put this post down to spending time on Wikipedia and reading up on past pandemics. Scary stuff.</p>
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		<title>By: Charles in Vancouver</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190282</link>
		<dc:creator>Charles in Vancouver</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2009 15:06:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190282</guid>
		<description>It sounds kind of morbid to say, but we&#039;ve clearly discovered that a large loss of credit affects the market more deeply and fundamentally than a loss of life. And not just with a pandemic. The market sure dropped on 9/11, but steady investors won out after the panic had subsided.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It sounds kind of morbid to say, but we&#8217;ve clearly discovered that a large loss of credit affects the market more deeply and fundamentally than a loss of life. And not just with a pandemic. The market sure dropped on 9/11, but steady investors won out after the panic had subsided.</p>
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		<title>By: Max</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190280</link>
		<dc:creator>Max</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2009 15:03:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190280</guid>
		<description>SARS did give us an awesome concert in Toronto though. :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>SARS did give us an awesome concert in Toronto though. <img src='http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Potato</title>
		<link>http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/guide-to-the-avian-flu/#comment-190279</link>
		<dc:creator>Potato</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2009 14:57:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.canadiancapitalist.com/?p=2202#comment-190279</guid>
		<description>I agree with you, Rob, that SARS and probably swine flu didn&#039;t/won&#039;t have a major impact on the markets...

As much I love to rag on the media, and as much as the media probably over-reacted (which had a very negative impact on Toronto&#039;s tourism business that year), SARS did certainly have the capability to become much worse than it was, it was a scary time. It was a disease that was very contagious -- one estimate is that the chance of catching it was 6% every time you walked into an infected person&#039;s room &lt;i&gt;with&lt;/i&gt; a surgical mask on (which is what lead to the switch to the so-called SARS masks). It had a fairly high death rate, even amongst initially healthy people.

The quarantine steps worked, however, and it was contained largely to the health care setting.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree with you, Rob, that SARS and probably swine flu didn&#8217;t/won&#8217;t have a major impact on the markets&#8230;</p>
<p>As much I love to rag on the media, and as much as the media probably over-reacted (which had a very negative impact on Toronto&#8217;s tourism business that year), SARS did certainly have the capability to become much worse than it was, it was a scary time. It was a disease that was very contagious &#8212; one estimate is that the chance of catching it was 6% every time you walked into an infected person&#8217;s room <i>with</i> a surgical mask on (which is what lead to the switch to the so-called SARS masks). It had a fairly high death rate, even amongst initially healthy people.</p>
<p>The quarantine steps worked, however, and it was contained largely to the health care setting.</p>
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